Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 5.293882 5.953520 6.674219 7.521839 8.493659 9.575612 10.874949
2025-01-19 4.111776 4.933213 5.898909 7.124253 8.646465 10.486647 12.896826
2025-01-26 3.556093 4.478769 5.625277 7.167489 9.207232 11.839788 15.538748
2025-02-02 3.241313 4.248322 5.558234 7.408476 9.989189 13.512693 18.776918
2025-02-09 2.965811 4.019756 5.444835 7.543621 10.608633 15.004482 21.939575
2025-02-16 2.732037 3.812833 5.324670 7.635105 11.150636 16.421829 25.162577
2025-02-23 2.535406 3.632344 5.214324 7.714422 11.664205 17.834823 28.554544
2025-03-02 2.291607 3.356556 4.932689 7.495976 11.678779 18.450781 30.705837
2025-03-09 2.113529 3.161040 4.749823 7.405220 11.874984 19.365604 33.472782
2025-03-16 1.955082 2.980689 4.571776 7.299235 12.025329 20.206750 36.209569
2025-03-23 1.899073 2.955446 4.634552 7.592887 12.883535 22.374436 41.734274
2025-03-30 1.795081 2.843417 4.545013 7.615114 13.259179 23.706425 45.826208
2025-04-06 1.681592 2.709735 4.412923 7.558274 13.499898 24.845133 49.778732
2025-04-13 1.514217 2.473359 4.088137 7.126061 12.991032 24.474112 50.487110
2025-04-20 1.440242 2.391013 4.023030 7.162794 13.386315 25.949326 55.488140
2025-04-27 1.403776 2.370680 4.064747 7.402249 14.206876 28.402214 63.156902
2025-05-04 1.354520 2.323523 4.053441 7.536990 14.827375 30.510114 70.397566
2025-05-11 1.303052 2.268310 4.022304 7.628326 15.365192 32.505523 77.736982
2025-05-18 1.253878 2.213589 3.987340 7.707552 15.884172 34.526045 85.535384
2025-05-25 1.172167 2.092400 3.816160 7.489324 15.719331 34.919991 89.020747
2025-06-01 1.111966 2.008054 3.710322 7.398659 15.832138 35.994072 94.610227
2025-06-08 1.054548 1.925395 3.601942 7.292779 15.897755 36.959563 100.080698
2025-06-15 1.043660 1.932597 3.673645 7.586137 16.941494 40.555602 114.218015